CJNG Will Take Advantage Of The Elections In Jalisco To Maintain Their Control, Warns Security Report.

Mica for cartelinsider.com

Jalisco’s Electoral Vulnerability: The CJNG Influence

The circumstances faced by the state of Jalisco make it likely that the criminal group Jalisco New Generation Cartel (CJNG) will seek to take advantage of the elections in the region to maintain control, warns a report on political violence carried out by Intelia Consultores.

The report, dated February 2024, states it can be read that the criminal group led by Nemesio Oseguera Cervantes, “El Mencho”, maintains significant control in the territory governed by Enrique Alfaro, as according to what was published by the consulting firm, the criminal group operates in approximately 80% of the territory.

Jalisco is a state with very high risk. In this state, the Jalisco New Generation Cartel (CJNG) maintains control of approximately 80% of the municipalities in the state, where they manage all kinds of economies through plaza bosses.

To understand how the so-called four-letter cartel could intervene in the electoral processes, it is necessary to recognize that, according to data shared by Intelia, the criminal group has more strength in the central part of Jalisco while maintaining disputes with other criminal groups in the border areas.

CJNG will take advantage of the municipal elections to maintain its hegemony in the central area of the territory and impose itself on the borders, as stated in the report.

It should be noted that any entity is at risk of experiencing violence in the context of elections. However, the report indicates that the specific case of Jalisco is relevant due to the combination of various factors that lead it to be classified as a “very high risk” entity, according to the methodology used by Intelia.

Among the listed factors, a “weak” rule of law was identified, as well as the interest of criminal groups in territories useful for their criminal activities and the need to “co-opt governments” to have an advantage over other criminal groups.

Broadening the Horizon: High-Risk States and Strategic Countermeasures

In addition, the report presents a map in which, in addition to Jalisco, it can be seen that several states are identified in the “very high risk” category, which is Colima, Michoacán (which border Jalisco), as well as Guerrero, and Chiapas.

After presenting the diagnosis, the report also points out possible solutions to tackle organized crime, among which is acknowledging the issue to create laws that help to confront it.

Another recommendation is that authorities not only combat criminal groups with military force, but also by stopping their other sources of income, as well as dismantling intelligence systems.

The mentioned report adds to the message from the Electoral Tribunal of the Federal Judicial Power (TEPJF), an institution that recognized the possibility of annulling the electoral process if there is evidence of organized crime interference in it.

During a recent press conference, Monica Soto, president of the TEPJF, along with magistrates Felipe de la Mata and Felipe Fuentes, highlighted the need for federal authorities not to overlook the violence and possible interference of organized crime in electoral processes.

The magistrates expressed their concern about how violence and drug trafficking operations could negatively influence the freedom and transparency of the upcoming democratic processes.

Summary

In a comprehensive report by Intelia Consultores, the Jalisco New Generation Cartel (CJNG)’s influence over Jalisco’s upcoming elections is meticulously dissected, highlighting the cartel’s dominion over 80% of the territory and its strategic positioning for electoral manipulation. Intelia, known for its detailed analytical methodologies, underscores the intertwined challenges of weak governance, territorial allure for criminal enterprises, and the cartel’s infiltration efforts. The report advocates for a nuanced approach combining legislative reforms and targeted actions against criminal revenue and intelligence networks, drawing inspiration from successful strategies in regions like Colombia and Italy. This analysis not only sheds light on the precarious situation in Jalisco but also offers a blueprint for combating political violence, emphasizing the urgent need for a collaborative effort to uphold democratic integrity against organized crime’s encroachment.

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Mica

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