Mica for cartelinsider.com
On June 2nd, there will be elections in Mexico, although several candidates have already been attacked and killed in various parts of the country. One of the states that is suffering from violence is Guanajuato, where Gisela Gaytán was murdered on April 1st. A recent report points to the territorial battle between the Jalisco New Generation Cartel (CJNG) and the Santa Rosa de Lima Cartel as a possible explanation for the violence.
In the document entitled “Politicians in the Crosshairs of Mexico’s Criminal Wars: The Cases of Guanajuato, Guerrero and Michoacán”, which was developed by the Armed Conflict Location and Event Data Project (ACLED), it can be read that the case of Guanajuato can be partly explained by the struggles between criminal groups.
ACLED indicates that there is a pattern in the violence against political figures, as data shows that the majority of attacks are direct and would be linked to criminal groups.

“The linearity of these figures over the years is partially attributed to the continuous territorial wars in this state, which remains a battleground where the CJNG and the CSRL are trying to establish their territorial dominance,” notes the report shared on Tuesday, April 16.
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According to the report, the ongoing violence in the state governed by Diego Sinhue Rodríguez has put security officials at both the municipal and state levels in danger. The report also highlights the tactics used by criminal organizations, noting that they often attempt to bribe or intimidate security agents, and those who refuse are frequently targeted for violence.

ACLED has reported that the CJNG group is not inclined towards cooperation, and its members often use violence to achieve their goals. Both the CJNG and its rival groups have been found to carry out expeditions in territories controlled by their opponents to mobilize security agents in the area. The report also highlights the importance of the Bermuda Triangle, an area with abundant resources and various businesses. Apart from the CJNG, the Sinaloa Cartel, two factions of the Gulf Cartel and the Union Leon, which is a “syndicate” of small criminal groups, operate in Guanajuato. Union Leon operates in ten municipalities, including Guanajuato, Silao, Apaseo el Alto, Cortazar, Celaya, Apaseo el Grande, Irapuato and León.
The ACLED report joins what was recorded by Integralia Consultores, an organization that created a map in which Guanajuato appears as a state with a “high risk” regarding the possible intervention of criminal groups in the elections.
“Criminal groups primarily subjugate municipal governments to build their authority, as this gives them access to valuable resources (such as collaboration from police) to: i) operate with complete impunity, ii) diversify their activities, and iii) neutralize their rivals,” as stated in Integralia’s document.
Thanks for reading!
Mica
Email: mica@cartelinsider.com
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